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Manual for the Preparation of Risk Maps

https://www.mininterior.gov.ar/planificacion/pdf/Manual-elaboracion-mapas-riesgo.pdf

 

MONITORING REPORT: UPDATE OF THE SINAGIR RISK MAPPING MANUAL

This report was prepared by the Consciente Colectivo team.

 

  1. Monitoring Objective

     

This report assesses the degree of progress towards Objective Measure 1.3 of the 2025–2029 National Disaster Risk Reduction Plan (PNRRD), which sets the following target for 2029: “Update the SINAGIR Manual for the preparation of risk maps, including a dissemination strategy to support its uptake.” The baseline document to be updated was originally published in March 2017 by the Ministry of Security and UNDP.

 

  1. Analysis of Documentary Progress (PNRRD 2025–2029 and Official Platforms)

     

Based on an analysis of the publicly available information to date, progress has been observed in geospatial data management, but not in the methodological update required by the objective:

 

Mapping and Assessment: The new 2025–2029 PNRRD includes updated matrices showing levels of exposure to various hazards, including earthquakes, floods, droughts and fires, across the North-West, North-East, Cuyo, Central and Patagonian regions.

 

Decentralisation: The current framework encourages provinces and municipalities to prepare their own risk maps at meso and micro scales through their Spatial Data Infrastructure Nodes, promoting dynamic geographic web services such as WMS and WFS rather than static documents.

 

Real-Time Monitoring: The role of the National Emergency Alert and Monitoring System (SINAME) is highlighted. The system consolidates information layers from multiple scientific and technical bodies for the visualisation of early warnings.

 

Absence of an Updated Manual: Despite these operational and mapping developments, there is no evidence that the main methodological document, the 2017 Manual, has been reissued, reviewed or updated to incorporate, for example, new multi-hazard climate risk approaches or a national dissemination strategy.

 

  1. Status of Public Information Requests

     

Given that the updated Manual was not proactively available, the mechanisms provided for under Law No. 27,275 and Law No. 25,831 on Access to Public Environmental Information were activated:

 

Response from the National Meteorological Service (SMN): Through administrative file EX-2026-38404589- -APN-DNPAIP#AAIP, the SMN formally confirmed that it had not participated in the preparation, technical review, validation or dissemination of an update to the Manual during the 2024–2026 period. The agency stated that it did not hold information on the dissemination strategy and referred the request to the Federal Emergency Agency (AFE). On 18 May 2026, the AFE responded to the request, stating the following:

 

Current Regulatory and Planning Framework: The draft 2024–2030 National Disaster Risk Reduction Plan was reformulated and approved as the 2025–2029 PNRRD through Ministry of Security Resolution No. 334/2026, prioritising an operational management strategy and verifiable targets. Therefore, the objectives and guidelines associated with the 2024 draft are not part of the current framework.

 

Status of the Manual: The current document and methodological framework of reference remains the “Manual for the Preparation of Risk Maps” published in 2017. The system is currently carrying out an assessment and diagnosis of technical standards, based on the premise that updates will be made only where they are considered “necessary”.

 

Dissemination Strategy and Results: The methodology contained in the 2017 Manual remains fully operational. As part of its dissemination and the provision of technical assistance to institutional bodies, the following local risk maps were reported as completed: 35 in 2024, 18 in 2025 and 22 in 2026.

 

Request to the Ministry of Security: A formal request dated 1 May 2026 is currently being processed before SINAGIR within the Ministry of Security. It seeks confirmation as to whether the 2017 Manual remains in force, whether a review process is under way, the publication schedule and details of the dissemination strategy.

 

  1. Conclusion

Following an analysis of the official response submitted by the AFE on 18 May 2026, sufficient information is available to determine the status of Measure 1.3, overcoming the initial lack of information. The agency’s response confirms that the 2017 “Manual for the Preparation of Risk Maps” remains the sole methodological framework of reference currently in force, with any future update subject to an assessment of technical need that is still at the evaluation stage.

 

Therefore, although an active territorial implementation agenda has been confirmed through the preparation of municipal risk maps between 2024 and 2026, the formal process of updating the underlying regulatory and methodological framework has not begun. It is therefore concluded that the government strategy has been redirected towards the practical consolidation of the existing instrument, the 2017 Manual, and its integration with the Network of Scientific and Technical Bodies. For this reason, the status of progress towards the specific update measure should be recorded as “At the preliminary technical assessment and diagnostic stage”, with no evidence of drafts or substantive reforms in the short term. This falls within the “Early progress” category.